The Matchday 6 clash in Ligue 1 between Toulouse and Nantes will take place on September 27 at the Stadium de Toulouse. Toulouse vs. Nantes: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Benoît Bastien (France)
Matches – 20 (Ligue 1, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 81;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 40%.
Over the last three matchdays, Toulouse have endured the worst run of form in Ligue 1 — three consecutive defeats. Meanwhile, Nantes are trending upwards, taking four points from their recent fixtures. The visitors have a reasonable chance to sustain that momentum.
At the start of the season, the team won their opening two matches without conceding. However, tougher assignments followed against Paris Saint-Germain (3:6) and Lille (1:2). Notably, Toulouse scored three times against Paris Saint-Germain. In the last round against Auxerre (0:1), the squad missed the opportunity to claim at least a point: in the third minute, Frank Magri failed to convert a penalty, and from the 64th minute Toulouse played with a man advantage. Given 2.33 xG and three big chances, failing to score was puzzling. Clearly, Toulouse need to be more clinical.
Nantes began without much cutting edge — just one goal across the first four matchdays, and each game finished with fewer than 1.5 goals. However, last weekend in the Breton derby, Nantes produced a proactive performance, scoring twice. The team fought back from 0:2 against Stade Rennais, and the winner from Youssef El-Arabi arrived in the 96th minute (3:2). Nantes also created the better chances, reflected by 2.11 xG.
Head-to-head last season brought two goalless draws, and current trends point towards the under. While both teams are capable of producing high-scoring games on occasion, the overall balance still leans towards low scoring.
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